Bayesian Investor Blog

Ramblings of a somewhat libertarian stock market speculator

Voter Rationality

Posted by Peter on November 19, 2006
Posted in: Politics, The Human Mind. Tagged: rationality, status.

Bryan Caplan has a good post arguing democracy produces worse results than rational ignorance among voters would explain.
However, one aspect of his style annoys me – his use of the word irrationality to describe what’s wrong with voter thinking focuses on what is missing from voter thought processes rather than what socially undesirable features are present (many economists tend to use the word irrationality this way). I hope his soon-to-be-published book version of this post devotes more attention to what voters are doing that differs from boundedly rational attempts at choosing the best candidates (some of which I suspect fall into what many of us would call selfishly rational motives even though economists usually classify them as irrational). Some of the motives that I suspect are important are the desire to signal one’s group membership, endowment effects which are one of the many reasons people treat existing jobs as if they were more valuable than new and more productive jobs that can be created, and reputation effects where people stick with whatever position they had in the past because updating their beliefs in response to new evidence would imply that their original positions weren’t as wise as they want to imagine.
Alas, his policy recommendations are not likely to be very effective and are generally not much easier to implement than futarchy (which I consider to be the most promising approach to dealing with the problems of democracy). For example:

Imagine, for example, if the Council of Economic Advisers, in the spirit of the Supreme Court, had the power to invalidate legislation as “uneconomical.”

If I try hard enough, I can imagine this approach working well. But it would take a lot more than Caplan’s skills at persuasion to get voters to go along with this, and it’s not hard to imagine that such an institution would develop an understanding of the concept of “uneconomical” that is much less desirable than Caplan’s or mine.

Posts navigation

← Electing to Fight
Envy →
  • Recent Posts

    • The Ageless Brain
    • AI 2027 Thoughts
    • Should AIs be Encouraged to Cooperate?
    • Rain of Tariffs
    • Notes from the TRIIM-X Clinical Trial
    • AI Markets on Manifold
    • Retrospective on my Investing Advice
    • Medical Windfall Prizes
  • Recent Comments

    • The Ageless Brain | Bayesian Investor Blog on The End of Alzheimer’s
    • AI 2027 Thoughts | Bayesian Investor Blog on AI Fire Alarm Scenarios
    • Notes from the TRIIM-X Clinical Trial | Bayesian Investor Blog on True Age
    • Bruce Smith on Retrospective on my Investing Advice
    • Retrospective on my Investing Advice | Bayesian Investor Blog on Advice for Buy-and-Hold Investors
  • Tags

    aging amm autism best posts bias brain bubbles CFAR climate communication skills consciousness covid diet effective altruism empires equality ethics evolution existential risks genetics happiness history honesty industrial revolution information economics IQ kelvinism law macroeconomics meditation mind uploading MIRI neuroscience prediction markets prizes psychology rationality relationships risks seasteading status stock market crash transhumanism war willpower
  • Categories

    • Announcements [B] (6)
    • Book Reviews (281)
    • Economics (183)
      • Idea Futures (44)
      • Investing (82)
    • Life, the Universe, and Everything (153)
      • Fermi Paradox (6)
      • Health (111)
      • Humor (11)
    • Movies (2)
    • Politics (196)
      • China (18)
      • Freedom (19)
      • Mideast (14)
      • U.S. Politics (79)
    • Science and Technology (257)
      • Artificial Intelligence (89)
      • Miscellaneous (20)
      • Molecular Assemblers (Advanced Nanotech) (16)
      • The Flynn Effect (16)
      • The Human Mind (111)
      • Virtual Worlds (4)
    • Uncategorized (14)
Proudly powered by WordPress Theme: Parament by Automattic.