Bayesian Investor Blog

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Anthropic Bias

Posted by Peter on March 16, 2005
Posted in: Book Reviews, Fermi Paradox. Tagged: anthropic principle, infinity.

Book Review: Anthropic Bias: Observation Selections Effects in Science and Philosophy by Nick Bostrom

This book discusses selection effects as they affect reasoning on topics such as the Doomsday Argument, whether you will choose a lane of traffic that is slower than average, and whether we can get evidence for or against the Many Worlds Interpretation of quantum mechanics. Along the way it poses some unusual thought experiments that at first glance seem to prove some absurd conclusions. It then points out the questionable assumptions about what constitute “similar observers” upon which the absurd conclusions depend, and in doing so it convinced me that the Doomsday Argument is weaker than I had previously thought.
It says some interesting things about the implications of a spatially infinite universe, and of the possibility that the number of humans will be infinite.
It is not easy to read, but there’s little reason to expect a book on this subject could be both easy to read and correct.
The author has a web site for the book.

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