Bayesian Investor Blog

Ramblings of a somewhat libertarian stock market speculator

Senators and Intelligence

Posted by Peter on November 1, 2004
Posted in: Idea Futures, U.S. Politics. Tagged: prediction markets.

Voters in Oregon and the Dakotas should remember what their Senators said about the DARPA project to create a futures market designed to provide information about terrorism. Ask yourself whether our presidential election would be decided more intelligently if we had a futures contract that predicted how many people would die in terrorist attacks over the next four year if Bush stays, and a similar one for a Kerry presidency. Many press reports that describe the reactions of Ron Wyden (Oregon), Byron Dorgan (North Dakota), and Tom Daschle (South Dakota) to the DARPA project are available here.

Posts navigation

← Manipulating futures markets
Paper versus plastic voting →
  • Recent Posts

    • Waking up to AGI
    • Super Agers
    • Are Intelligent Agents More Ethical?
    • Insider Trading on Nuclear Regulation?
    • The Ageless Brain
    • AI 2027 Thoughts
    • Should AIs be Encouraged to Cooperate?
    • Rain of Tariffs
  • Recent Comments

    • Paul Sas on Waking up to AGI
    • Bruce Smith on Super Agers
    • William Kiely on Waking up to AGI
    • Bruce Smith on Are Intelligent Agents More Ethical?
    • Peter on Rain of Tariffs
  • Tags

    aging amm autism best posts bias brain bubbles CFAR climate communication skills consciousness covid diet effective altruism empires equality ethics evolution existential risks genetics happiness history honesty industrial revolution information economics IQ kelvinism law macroeconomics meditation mind uploading MIRI neuroscience prediction markets prizes psychology rationality relationships risks seasteading status stock market crash transhumanism war willpower
  • Categories

    • Announcements [B] (6)
    • Book Reviews (282)
    • Economics (186)
      • Idea Futures (44)
      • Investing (84)
    • Life, the Universe, and Everything (154)
      • Fermi Paradox (6)
      • Health (112)
      • Humor (11)
    • Movies (2)
    • Politics (198)
      • China (18)
      • Freedom (19)
      • Mideast (14)
      • U.S. Politics (81)
    • Science and Technology (259)
      • Artificial Intelligence (91)
      • Miscellaneous (20)
      • Molecular Assemblers (Advanced Nanotech) (16)
      • The Flynn Effect (16)
      • The Human Mind (111)
      • Virtual Worlds (4)
    • Uncategorized (14)
Proudly powered by WordPress Theme: Parament by Automattic.