Bayesian Investor Blog

Ramblings of a somewhat libertarian stock market speculator

Senators and Intelligence

Posted by Peter on November 1, 2004
Posted in: Idea Futures, U.S. Politics. Tagged: prediction markets.

Voters in Oregon and the Dakotas should remember what their Senators said about the DARPA project to create a futures market designed to provide information about terrorism. Ask yourself whether our presidential election would be decided more intelligently if we had a futures contract that predicted how many people would die in terrorist attacks over the next four year if Bush stays, and a similar one for a Kerry presidency. Many press reports that describe the reactions of Ron Wyden (Oregon), Byron Dorgan (North Dakota), and Tom Daschle (South Dakota) to the DARPA project are available here.

Posts navigation

← Manipulating futures markets
Paper versus plastic voting →
  • Recent Posts

    • The Death of Cancer
    • Future-Generation Government
    • AI-Oriented Investments
    • An Optimistic Scenario for Taiwan
    • Further Thoughts on AI Ethics
    • Waking up to AGI
    • Super Agers
    • Are Intelligent Agents More Ethical?
  • Recent Comments

    • The Death of Cancer | Bayesian Investor Blog on Super Agers
    • David Schneider-Joseph on AI-Oriented Investments
    • Peter on AI-Oriented Investments
    • Future-Generation Government | Bayesian Investor Blog on Intangibles
    • Peter on Waking up to AGI
  • Tags

    aging amm autism best posts bias brain bubbles CFAR climate communication skills consciousness covid diet effective altruism empires equality ethics evolution existential risks genetics happiness history honesty industrial revolution information economics IQ kelvinism law macroeconomics meditation mind uploading MIRI neuroscience prediction markets prizes psychology rationality relationships risks seasteading status stock market crash transhumanism war willpower
  • Categories

    • Announcements [B] (6)
    • Book Reviews (284)
    • Economics (187)
      • Idea Futures (44)
      • Investing (85)
    • Life, the Universe, and Everything (155)
      • Fermi Paradox (6)
      • Health (113)
      • Humor (11)
    • Movies (2)
    • Politics (201)
      • China (19)
      • Freedom (19)
      • Mideast (14)
      • U.S. Politics (82)
    • Science and Technology (261)
      • Artificial Intelligence (93)
      • Miscellaneous (20)
      • Molecular Assemblers (Advanced Nanotech) (16)
      • The Flynn Effect (16)
      • The Human Mind (111)
      • Virtual Worlds (4)
    • Uncategorized (14)
Proudly powered by WordPress Theme: Parament by Automattic.