{"id":1994,"date":"2025-03-14T09:20:29","date_gmt":"2025-03-14T17:20:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/?p=1994"},"modified":"2025-03-14T09:20:29","modified_gmt":"2025-03-14T17:20:29","slug":"ai-markets-on-manifold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/2025\/03\/14\/ai-markets-on-manifold\/","title":{"rendered":"AI Markets on Manifold"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;ve been creating prediction markets on Manifold in order to better predict AI strategies. Please trade them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/manifold.markets\/PeterMcCluskey\/will-the-company-that-produces-the\">Will the company that produces the first AGI prioritize corrigibility?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/manifold.markets\/PeterMcCluskey\/will-the-company-that-produces-the\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/manifold.markets\/PeterMcCluskey\/will-agi-create-a-consensus-among-e\">Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/manifold.markets\/PeterMcCluskey\/will-prioritizing-corrigible-ai-pro\">Will prioritizing corrigible AI produce safe results?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If I get a bit more trading in these markets, I will create more AI-related markets. Stay tuned <a href=\"https:\/\/manifold.markets\/PeterMcCluskey?tab=questions\">here<\/a>, or follow me on Manifold.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve been creating prediction markets on Manifold in order to better predict AI strategies. Please trade them. If I get a bit more trading in these markets, I will create more AI-related markets. Stay tuned here, or follow me on Manifold.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[26,17],"tags":[128,124],"class_list":["post-1994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ai","category-if","tag-existential-risks","tag-prediction-markets"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p80O1l-wa","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1994","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1994"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1994\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1995,"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1994\/revisions\/1995"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bayesianinvestor.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}